The Washington Commanders look no further than their revamped NFC East rivals when they face the Chicago Bears on Thursday Night Football. Commanders (1-4) are at the bottom of a division. They are already four games behind the division-leading Eagles (5-0) and three games behind the Cowboys and Giants (both 4-1). Meanwhile, the Bears (2-3) are his third-place finish in the NFC North, putting him two games behind the division-leading Vikings (4-1).
Kickoff is 8:15 PM ET in Chicago. The Caesars Sportsbook lists the game as picking at Soldier Field, but the latest Bears vs. Commanders odds are Vegas’ over/under, or 38 total points. Before making your Commanders vs. Bears picks, check out our NFL predictions and betting advice from SportsLine Projection Model.
Since its inception, the model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, has increased nearly $7,000 for a $100 player in the highest-rated NFL pick. This model is the highest-rated NFL pick going back to the 2017 season, with an incredible 146-105 run going into Week 6 of the 2022 NFL season.
The model has also ranked in NFLPickWatch’s top 10 NFL picks over the past six years, beating out over 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that period. Anyone who followed it is on top.
The model now has its sights set on the Bears vs. Commanders, locking that pick and TNF prediction. Visit SportsLine today to see our model recommendations. Here are the Commanders vs Bears NFL odds and betting lines:
- Bears vs. Commanders Spread: PK
- Bears vs. Commanders Over/Under: 38 Points
- Bears vs. Commanders Money Line: Commanders -110, Bears -110
- WASH: Manager is 1-4 against the spread this season
- CHI: Bears are at 2-2-1 for spreads in 2022
- Bears vs. Commanders Picks: Check SportsLine’s Picks
Featured games | | Chicago Bears vs. Washington Commanders
Why the commander can cover
Washington faces an anemic Chicago attack. The Bears are averaging only 17.2 points per game, and he’s only four teams lower than that. They are also tied with eight touchdowns for the third-lowest in the season.
Additionally, the commander faces Chicago’s defenses, which are struggling in execution. The Bears have allowed eight rushing touchdowns for him this season, with only the Seahawks and Lions giving up more touchdowns. Chicago also allows 850 rushing yards, one less than the worst rushing defense in the league (Seattle). See which teams return here.
Why the Bears Can Cover
The Bears excel on the ground offense, averaging 157.4 rushing yards per game, ranking among the top five in the NFL. This includes his 4.9 yards per carry, and Chicago has dynamic running backs in David Montgomery and Khalil Herbert. Chicago has had red zone success with 7 touchdowns on 12 trips inside the 20-yard line, and has scored in total defense, turnovers made, passes defended, passer ratings allowed, and pass touchdowns allowed. It faces the Washington defense ranked 26th and below.
On defense, Chicago only scored 21.2 points per game and 1.83 points per drive, forcing the Bears to eight turnovers in five games. Roquan Smith led the way with his NFL-leading 54 tackles in his five games, and Washington averaged offensive runs scored, turnovers prevented, sacks prevented, rushing yards per game, and rushing yards per attempt. is below See which teams return here.
How to make a Bears vs. Commanders pick
SportsLine’s model outperformed the rest, scoring a total of 42 points. It also said that one side of the spread has cashed well over his 60% of the simulation. His TNF pick for the model is available exclusively at SportsLine.
So who will win Thursday Night Football’s Commanders vs. Bears? And which side of the spread will cash in more than 60% of the time? See and find out which side, Commanders vs. Bears, jumps from the advanced models, which are priced at almost $7,000 more.